Forget the Green New Deal: How ‘Green Populism’ Secretly Decided the Midterms

Forget the Green New Deal: How ‘Green Populism’ Secretly Decided the Midterms

LOS ANGELES, November 6, 2026 – The midterms in America have not provided the expected traditional climate campaign. The climate change question has been marginal in the campaigns of most of the candidates; what Americans were informed about included electricity costs, gas prices, data centers, insurance rates, and jobs. However, the outcome may still affect America’s environmental policy.

Democrats have managed to take control of the House and Senate in Tuesday’s election; besides, they have also secured some governorships and complete control of some states. This will allow Democrats to probe and even hinder implementation of certain deregulatory aspects of the energy policy of President Donald Trump.

Affordability became the message

The political strategy was simple: link the issues of climate and energy to the cost of living. Rather than focusing on goals regarding emissions, the candidates focused on explaining why utility bills, fuel costs, and housing costs keep rising.

The Climate and Community Institute discovered that the candidates who were most associated with “green economic populism” won 39 of the 56 races for the U.S. Congress and Senate in which they competed, including six of seven races for the Senate and 33 of 49 races for the House. Their analysis claimed that candidates who won the election tied the cost-of-living crisis to utilities, oil companies, corporate landlords, and data center developers.

Johanna Bozuwa, executive director of the institute, stated that the voters want leaders who can make life affordable while “stand[ing] up for working people against elites.”

Congress can check, not command

Federal legislation on climate isn’t expected any time soon either. Even under majority Democrats, legislation will have to receive some Republican backing, which also has veto power in the form of Donald Trump.

The strategy that can be employed by Democrats is that of overseeing. It’s believed that Democrats will oversee energy policy in the administration, tax breaks for fossil fuels, methane pollution, permitting, and the environmental implications of the growth of AI data centers. The bipartisan permitting legislation may lose its viability as well after the inauguration.

States may move faster

More immediate steps might be taken elsewhere. The Democrats have now achieved full control of state governments in Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania, say election analysts, leaving room for renewable energy, grid development, and greenhouse gas emissions reduction.

Democrat Amy Acton was elected governor in Ohio on the back of a campaign focused on data centers and utility bills. And Democrat JoAnna Mendoza defeated Republican Representative Juan Ciscomani in Arizona’s sixth congressional district.

A more cautious climate politics

Here’s the complication: This was certainly not a return to the type of campaigning seen during the Green New Deal campaign.

New York Governor Kathy Hochul tried to roll back some provisions of the state’s landmark climate law, citing cost concerns, and Massachusetts Senator Ed Markey played down the bill in the course of his reelection campaign.

Texas Senator-elect James Talarico, who had earlier sounded off against the climate costs of fossil fuels, campaigned on preserving oil and gas employment while expanding renewables and lowering energy bills. This divide between decarbonization and energy costs is going to shape the next phase of environmental politics.

If anything, the midterms show that voters did not oppose climate action per se, but opposed the types of measures that they felt would be expensive, far-off, or out of touch with their energy bills.

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